The Development
Playbook

Calculator T-07 / Available

Renting is not the opposite of investing.

Compare buying a home with renting and investing the difference, using one transparent long-term view.

Assumption set

Purchase case

Upfront cash

KES 3.00m

Monthly mortgage

KES 127,847

Owner monthly outflow

KES 147,847

Loan amount

KES 9.60m

Base-case output

Decision view

Buying leads

Net worth advantage after 10 years

KES 467,095

Positive means buying leads. Negative means renting and investing the difference leads.

Owner net worth

KES 15.35m

Renter portfolio

KES 14.88m

Future home value

KES 21.49m

Remaining debt

KES 5.49m

Break-even signal

Buying needs roughly 5.8% annual property growth to match the rent-and-invest case under these assumptions.

Sensitivity matrix

Growth vs return.

Each cell shows the buying advantage after the holding period. Terracotta cells favour renting.

Property / Portfolio6%8%10%12%14%
0%-KES 4.42m-KES 6.39m-KES 8.74m-KES 11.55m-KES 14.92m
3%-KES 421,542-KES 2.39m-KES 4.74m-KES 7.55m-KES 10.92m
6%KES 4.78mKES 2.82mKES 467,095-KES 2.35m-KES 5.72m
9%KES 11.49mKES 9.53mKES 7.18mKES 4.36mKES 991,972
12%KES 20.09mKES 18.12mKES 15.77mKES 12.96mKES 9.59m

Method note

The buying case estimates future property value, deducts selling costs and remaining mortgage debt, and treats the result as owner net worth.

The renting case assumes the upfront cash not used for purchase is invested, then adds any positive monthly saving from renting versus owning. The model excludes tax, irregular repairs, lifestyle utility, relocation flexibility, and non-financial preferences.

Questions / Method

How to read a rent vs buy result.

What does the rent vs buy calculator compare?

It compares estimated net worth after a chosen holding period. The buying case estimates home equity after mortgage debt and selling costs. The renting case invests the deposit, acquisition costs, and any monthly saving from renting.

Why does the calculator invest the difference?

Renting is not automatically cheaper unless the cash not used for buying is deployed productively. Investing the difference makes the comparison closer to an investment decision rather than only a monthly affordability test.

Is buying always better when property prices rise?

No. Buying can still underperform if mortgage costs, transaction costs, maintenance, and opportunity cost exceed the benefit of appreciation and principal repayment over the holding period.

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